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The firms play the game of real recovery? Their profits are excellent on both sides of the Atlantic in the second quarter. At the same time, growth remains too low to reduce unemployment and the specter of a double dip recession. Economists blame the companies responsible for this widening gap between profits and growth.

"The companies have not shared enough of their profits with their employees, and this could dampen the recovery," says Aneta Markowska, economist at Societe Generale CIB. In the U.S., the share of corporate revenues redistributed to employees has dropped from 59.8% in the second quarter, its lowest level since the Second World War.

Recruitment at half

Paradoxically, "the companies that have entered the crisis with little debt and thus did not need to rebalance their balance sheets, accumulate cash and threaten the recovery," says Aneta Markowska. Their cash is now nearly 6% of their assets, against less than 4.5% before the crisis. A level not seen since the 50s, according to figures from Societe Generale CIB. The most obvious translation of this strategy, they block the hiring.

Natixis, the head of economic research, Patrick Artus, made the same observation. In a classical revival, the increase in profits resulting from investment, thus creating jobs, which in turn produce growth. But this time it's different.'Distortion of revenue sharing to the detriment of employees led to the weakening of wage and salary income, thus accentuating the weakness of domestic demand, "says Patrick Artus in a note. In the U.S., it will need more time to households in debt up to his neck to clean up their finances before eating again.

Uncertainty

If companies are ants and jealously guard their cash flow, because a great uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook. Because of fears of fallout in recession, "they do not know what will be their future profits and (in the U.S., Ed) they have difficulty in measuring what the impact of tax measures on the viability of their projects investment ", according to Societe Generale economist IPC.

Growth at half-profits on the rise, "he will have to get used to the difference," said Patrick Artus, who believes this is a trend. First, large groups are investing in emerging markets with high potential, which boosts their results. Then the credit market freeze that followed the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers has scalded. They now want to finance their own investments and not to depend on external funding.

August subdued for the French economy. According to a first estimate, the flash PMI index of purchasing managers stood at its lowest level since five months, to 59 points, against 59.7 in July, reported Markit. Pessimists will note that the services are in decline, against 61.1 to 59.9 in July. As for industry, she has continued to destroy jobs in the month of August.

But optimists emphasize that, although down compared to July, the PMI indicator reflects a strong growth in business services as industry. This also recovers to 54.7 against 53.9 a month earlier. In general, grade Markit, the two sectors have "stronger growth in the volume of new business" on the month. What "confirm the solidity of the French takeover," analyzes Jack Kennedy, economist at Markit.The government has revised its forecast Friday for growth for 2011 downward from 2.5% to 2%.

On another positive note, employment continued to grow, driven by strong hiring in the services. Above all, companies "remain confident about their business outlook," "anticipate new business opportunities" and "hope for an improvement in overall economic conditions over the next twelve months," notes Markit.

Germany shaped

In Germany, activity has accelerated in August, reaching the highest since three years, according to Markit index. This was up by 59.3 points, against 59 in July. "The strong growth in services from the index, while the industry recorded a slight slowdown in growth."While some manufacturers are worried about the holding of world trade, the robust performance of services will be crucial in the second half" to maintain the dynamism of the recovery in Germany, analyzes Tim Moore, an economist at Markit.

The PMI index for the entire euro area fell slightly to 56.1, against 56.7 points in July. This result, which indicates a growth in activity, conceals alarming disparities between national economies, growth still based primarily on Germany and France, "warned Markit.

"After an excellent second quarter, growth in the third quarter should be relatively robust to the heart of Europe," said Pierre-Olivier Beffy, chief economist at Exane BNP Paribas."A further rise in significant business is in the cards, probably beyond current expectations."

Less optimistic economists at BNP Paribas' doubt that the dynamism in the services prevent the European economy to slow sharply in the second half. "

The U.S. stock markets continue their advance on Tuesday, as European stock markets and the momentum of the day on Wall Street. At the opening, the indices are green, but increases small. Very quickly, the Dow Jones up 0.37% at 10,564 points, the Nasdaq is up 0.44% to 2306 points and the S & P 500 by 0.44% to 1120 points ..

Yesterday, the market was driven by good news from the real estate sector still observed under the microscope by investors. Sales of new houses in the United States have indeed rebounded more than expected in June, 23.6%. On Tuesday, a new publication, the Case-Shiller index of home prices meets the individual operators stock market is increased more than expected in May in the United States, +0.5%, a move which still reflects a sustained level of sales, helped by a tax credit.The month of May and is the second consecutive monthly increase, a trend that comes after two months of consecutive decline.

Another highlight of the week at the macroeconomic level, the U.S. central bank should publish its Beige Book Wednesday on the economic conditions. It will be very guarded while the president of the institution, Ben Bernanke said Wednesday before Congress the slow recovery, with no announcement of new funding in the economy. But it was the day Friday with the first estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) U.S. second quarter is expected this week.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro continues against the greenback.Around 15:30, the euro was worth just under $ 1.30, but the threshold was crossed earlier.

The ball takes Publications

On the side of values, as BP leads the rating declining by 1.5% to 38.12 dollars in early trade Payday Loan for Bad Credit. The amount of the quarterly net loss of oil exceeds $ 17 billion, a record high. The group is preparing to sell $ 30 billion in assets and confirms the resignation of its CEO.

The U.S. financial services group CIT (-0.21% to 38.92 dollars), which serves a clientele of mainly SMEs, on Tuesday released a second consecutive quarterly profit and announced it had reduced its debt by three billion dollars.The net income was $ 142.1 million, and reported the number of shares equivalent to 71 cents, while analysts were not expecting that 33.

The group has however indicated that he had once again increased its provision for credit losses, bringing them to $ 260.7 million over the period April-June But this element, as well as pay increases decided to retain employees, was more than offset by asset sales, earnings and tax collectors.

For its part, the world's number one defense, Lockheed Martin (1.73% at 73, 17 dollars) Tuesday reported higher quarterly earnings expectations and raised its annual profit forecast by emphasizing buybacks and improved results in the satellites public.Net income for the second quarter was $ 825 million or $ 2.22 per share, against 734 million or 1.88 dollars per share in the second quarter 2009.

Today investors await quarterly results include sitting in the middle of those of DuPont.

Always on the side of values, the European Commission on Monday opened two investigations to IBM. It suspects the group of computer abuse of dominant position on the markets for servers.

J-1. That Tuesday morning Eric Woerth will present his Cabinet bill on pension reform. This text provides for the postponement by 2018 the legal age of retirement at age 62 (as against 60 now) and increase by 2020 the contribution period for a full pension at 41 5 installments. It also proposes to raise over 10 years to 10.55% of gross salary pension contribution rate of employees.Meanwhile, the government plans to introduce draft consideration – unprecedented – the strain at work to enable employees who have had a difficult career to continue to retire at age 60 but also extend the system "long careers "which allows people who started working early to liquidate their retirement before age 60.

"Unjust and unacceptable"

Trade unions, traditionally opposed the reforms they consider "unfair and unacceptable" because it would further inequalities have already planned to protest during the presentation of the Council of Ministers."The proposed reform does not respond to questions of employment, particularly youth and seniors, or the reversal of gender inequalities, or to the recognition of the hardship … It refers to the uncertainty of future generations sustainability of pension secured by the division, they were justified in a statement. They also criticized the closure of financial reform that puts "more than 85% of efforts" to employees only and require "a different distribution of wealth produced, particularly through higher taxes than expected capital income and senior income.

Eric Woerth's proposal to improve the bill at the time of the examination to the National Assembly from September 7 on three aspects of the text (strain at work, and long careers polypensionnés) has yet not had the desired effect.Even the beginnings of a better consideration of the prevention of the hardship brought up by the entourage of the Minister of Labour at a meeting with labor, has left them unmoved. "We want a broader discussion, said Friday Eric Aubin, the negotiator of the CGT, after an interview Rue de Grenelle. The position of the government that it seeks to show a continued dialogue. But we ride seriously and it confirms our intention to build a strong mobilization on September 7. "

On this day, the unions have scheduled a new day of strikes and unit mobilization, hoping to do better than June 24 when 800 000 people (and by 1.9 million CGT) had beaten the streets across France to protest against the postponement of 60 years. And thus weigh more on debates in Parliament.They do not despair, no longer convinced by that number of MPs to amend by Social Affairs Committee – where the text will be examined from July 20 to 22 – the bill. The CFDT has also planned to "harass" the summer MPs in their constituency. Act II of the 2010 pension reform does so may just be beginning.

"SPECIAL – The challenges of pension reform

G20 warned. Beware of excessive rigor. That's good, the government has always had something in horror. Rigor. However, in the fall, it will be many rigorous measures to be announced. Nonetheless, France has heard this message. This Sunday, at the Economic Forum, held annually the weekend by the Circle of economists, Christine Lagarde, Minister of Economy, has found a new formula. The "ri-lance, a mixture of rigor and recovery. "Renewal or rigor, this is not a choice, not a Gordian knot for me," she said.The economic policy that we are in France now is a political ri-lance.

So precisely what does she mean by "ri-lance? This is a "delicate balance which is really to reduce public spending where it will be less painful for the prospect of reviving economic activity," she says.

Another question: how to implement it? "We must carry out fundamental reforms such as pension reform and revitalize the economy by insisting on nvestments and innovation.

Reducing public expenditure without forgetting to relaunch growth. Such is the creed of the government, which needs to 100 billion euros in savings in three years and above who expects growth of 2.5% in 2011 as in 2012.Ambitious requires a real fight economic policy and especially a real global coordination.

The last summit of the G20 in Canada had indeed left a clear dissonance in this area between Europeans and Americans. They demanded that the Europeans do not all implement the same time austerity plans, fearing for U.S. growth.

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Formality. Unless disaster, Laurence Parisot should be re-elected Thursday as head of MEDEF for three years. The boss of bosses is the only candidate to succeed him and won the support of 40 members of the executive board present at the May 31 (out of 45 members) in a secret ballot.

The boss of bosses was the only candidate to succeed him (photo credits Jean-Christophe Marmara to the Figaro).

The Autorité des marchés financiers (AMF) to better protect investors. Like announced last April, the MFA has launched with the collaboration of the supervisory authority, a new public financial information. His goal? To better inform its clients on banking, savings, insurance, financial markets or the credit. The public will get information on insurance products (home, auto, life, health …), bank accounts, means of payment, bank books or the functioning of financial markets, products collective savings, companies listed on the Stock Exchange, the securities account.

"Applications will be redirected by the operators to specialists of the AMF or the supervisory authority," says Madeleine Guidoni, mediator of the AMF.The policeman of the Exchange hopes to meet customer expectations disappointed that their banks do not have better information about the content of such Fund.

Life buoy

"The financial institution has taken to bad habits for marketing of financial products", regrets the mediator of the AMF.With this new service, the regulator should thus be able to better track business practices of banks and better focus the control activities.

After the merger of the bank authorities and insurance giving birth to the supervisory authority, the creation of this service, as required by the economy minister, Christine Lagarde, is like a lifeline to investors, including confidence in financial markets has been severely affected by the numerous cases of fraud or scam.

Called Insurance Banking Savings Info Service, is available in a website – www.abs-infoservice.fr – A telephone helpline – 0811901801 – and a postal address – Insurance Banking Savings Info Service, 61 Rue Taitbout; 75,009 Paris.The domestic number is available Monday through Friday from 8:00 to 6:00 p.m..

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Fiercely negotiated three days in Toronto, the draft statement of the G20 should offend anyone. If it includes the rigorous growth strategy, it also warns against excessive austerity. Still as unpopular worldwide, the tax credit is mentioned by the G20 as a means available to states to pass through to the banks of the crisis mess. The 28 pages of draft final declaration, which obtained a copy of Figaro, operate a subtle synthesis between European and American positions.

Angela Merkel can boast of having imposed the virtues of fiscal discipline at the highest level. But to the relief of Barack Obama and Nicolas Sarkozy, she has not transformed the G20 summit of austerity."Recent events show the importance of sustainable public finances and the need for our countries to implement measures to consolidate budget spread over time, conducive to growth, and differentiated according to country and national circumstances," says the One of the phrases most discussed compromise.

Determined to make growth "priority" of the G20, the United States got to place the term "recovery" prominently in the declaration, a challenge, says a trader. "We need to let it work through our plans to consolidate fiscal stimulus recovery," said the G20 as well. "Adjustments in simultaneous biggest countries could undermine the recovery," it added.

Disagreement over the top on bank charges

Canada has not really managed to impose a stability pact worldwide."Advanced economies have pledged to take measures to consolidate budgetary decline by at least half the deficit by 2013, and stabilize or reduce the debt / GDP ratio by 2016, said the G20. Nothing that does very afraid of the euro area, or even France, which has promised to reduce its deficit to 3% in 2013. The White House, meanwhile, did not wait for the G20 to commit to reducing the U.S. budget deficit by half in 2013 to return to deficits of 3% in 2015.

If the disagreement at the summit endorsed the tax credit, due to strong opposition from Canada to Australia, but also emerging countries (China, India, Russia), the G20 mention the tax as an option for countries seeking to save public money in any future banking crisis.Defended by the Fund, this fee would be modulated according to risk profile of financial institutions.

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The OECD refers to a "structural change" of historic importance. The phenomenon is not new but it has accelerated over the last decade and more as a result of the crisis. The weight of emerging economies has amplified, as evidenced by a new study by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) on the tilting of wealth. In support, the few trade data: in 2009, China became the largest trading partner of Brazil, India and South Africa. Between 1990 and 2008, world trade has multiplied almost fourfold, while the South-South trade have been more than ten. Indian car maker Tata is now the second largest investor in sub-Saharan Africa.Financially, the Developing Countries held in 2008, 4.2 trillion dollars of foreign reserves, or more than one and half times the amount held by the rich countries.

Another sign of their increasing weight between 1990 and 2000, the number of countries called emerging markets (ie whose average per capita equivalent to more than double that of OECD countries) has increased from 12 65. Several states of Eastern Europe like the Czech Republic, Hungary and Slovakia acceded to the richest group, along with Saudi Arabia. Today, says the OECD, a simple division into two is more relevant. Château de la Muette now retains the concept of world "four speed", according to growth rates and income levels: poor, distressed, convergent and rich.Interesting phenomenon, twenty economies, mostly in Asia like India, Indonesia and Bangladesh but also in Africa, like Ethiopia or Nigeria, have made a great leap forward from the status of "poor" than "converge".

Note in this scenario, the underperformance of Latin America, where reforms have done little to advance growth. The report noted a reduction of poverty, especially in China where the rate has decreased by 60% in 1995 to 16% in 2005. The downside, if the number of poor has decreased overall from 300 million in the last decade, growth has often been accompanied by increasing inequality, which may influence the long term.

But the trend should not be reversed.In 2030, the OECD area could represent 43% of global GDP in purchasing power parity, against 60% in 2000 and 51% in 2010.

At Microsoft, we talk of "strategic shift". Twenty years after the onset of the first version of Office, its main software, including Word, Excel and PowerPoint, become free on the Internet. "We have incorporated new uses coming from the Web, in a business model funded by advertising," Jean-Christophe defends Pity, director of the division office in France.

The software, in their declination Web are accessible from any computer with Internet Explorer, Firefox, Safari or Chrome. There is no need to install any software or plugin, even if the extension Silverlight competitor to Flash, is recommended.However, it is essential to have a Windows Live at Microsoft, to create and edit documents, stored on a virtual disk with a capacity of 25 GB

The online tools do not support all functions of the Office suite but a light mode. In Word, for example, inserting tables and images work, like changing font, text alignment and the spellchecker. But the footnotes page can not be changed. Similarly, in PowerPoint, changing graphics is skimpy. And from a mobile or a shelf, only consultation is proposed.

A response to Google

For Microsoft, it was not any way to match the capabilities of traditional software, which will sold from 99 euros payday advance.The more complete versions, installed on the hard drive and connected to the Web for collaborative work, to manage the effects and 3D animation video, editing, and the contour images, make layouts. The Outlook e-mail, intended for professionals, now includes the major social networks including Facebook and LinkedIn.

The free software on the Internet should rather discourage users to migrate to the online office suite from Google, Google Docs, and if possible refer to the charges. Office remains one of the main sources of income for Microsoft. For years now, contributed almost half of its profits last year.If Office totaling half a billion users worldwide, Google has recently surpassed 25 million customers, and gaining ground in enterprises.

Without giving specific numbers, Microsoft expects to France, despite the competition from free, on a "double-digit growth" in sales of Office, says Jean-Christophe Mercy. By the end of the year, "between 80 and 90%" of PC will be sold with the suite preinstalled. An activation key must be purchased to access the software. The early indicators are encouraging. The beta version of Office has been downloaded over 600,000 times in France. Behind the United States, but ahead of all other countries.