Whatever the final scope of the Franco-German compromise on a European recovery plan, a point is a virtual consensus: the European Investment Bank (EIB) will be further tapped. During his campaign, Francois Hollande has repeatedly cited the institution, explaining to want to see more funding for innovative projects. Chaired by a German, Werner Hoyer, the EIB has the added advantage of being compatible with the philosophy of Berlin in public finance.

Created after the Treaty of Rome, in 1958, this arm of the European Union acts as a conventional financial institution with its shareholders – the 27 EU member states – and its own funds – 232 billion – which it serves as collateral to raise funds on the market and in return grant funds to the public sector. In other words, an appeal to the EIB does not dig, as such, deficits in the area.

Finance ministers of Twenty-Seven will meet Tuesday morning in Brussels, the Governing Council to start work on the practical modalities of strengthening the institution. An exercise stress: no question that the EIB, currently rated "AAA" by the three major agencies, lose this precious document. Where applicable, the cost of refinancing is found in heavy and interventions become less effective.

Two schemes in the study

Request more loans the EIB is therefore to provide in return the appropriate funds. Two schemes are under consideration. The first is to rely on the EU budget. The idea of ​​bringing the Commission to the capital being strongly opposed by the Member States, the solution that emerges would be to use part of European funds as collateral for loans which would then be granted by the EIB. It is this pattern that has been adopted in Greece, for example where the Bank has committed to lend up to 1 billion euros for innovative SMEs from a guarantee of 500 million EU.

The second scheme – which holds the rope – is a mere increase of the EIB's capital, financed by the 27 shareholders. The magnitude of this increase would be about 10 billion euros, which would allow the EIB to grant 60 billion of loans that can generate around 180 billion investment, thanks to the leverage caused by the co-investment from the private sector. An overall figure on which refuses to engage the side of the EIB, "everything depends on the type of investment, leverage is stronger in the context of public-private partnerships in SME lending" says an official. However, the figure of 10 billion additional capital seems to be confirmed.

The impact is not negligible for the European states. The two main shareholders of the bank, France and Germany, which each own 16.5% stake, will write a check for $ 1.65 billion. And even if it is not, strictly speaking, additional debt, the stress on budgets is important. The talks between finance ministers will continue in the coming weeks, to stop a scheme before the European Council in late June.  

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Unavoidable. Both right and left, it is fashionable for a Prime Minister to consult the National Federation of Farmers' Unions (FNSEA) before appointing or the Minister of Agriculture. The first president of the French farmers' union, did not hide it. "It seems normal to me, democracy is a living thing," argues Xavier Beulin.

FNSEA three priorities. The first: the jurisdiction of the future minister. It should be expanded to include the food industry, hitherto in the lap of Bercy. "We can not isolate the production issues of value and foreign trade," explains Xavier Beulin. The request was consonant with that of the manufacturers themselves: "The first industry of the country will she finally be taken into account in the new government, beyond the simple farming?", Mused at the end of Last week on Twitter Jean-Rene Buisson, president of Ania, their trade association.

Second priority for the leader of the FNSEA: international. "We need the new minister has a good knowledge of international circuits and especially Europe. 2013 will be a turning point for the common agricultural policy. Many countries expect the French position on this matter. "

Third major point: the capacity for dialogue. "We had in the past ministers entered the office without special knowledge of agriculture, as the outgoing Minister Bruno Le Maire, says Xavier Beulin no faxing pay day loans. He soon learned his style and printed. What seems important is the quality of relationships that we can eat, especially on the environmental record. "

Le Foll holds the rope

Among the names floating around, both have the favor of the FNSEA. "For years we are talking to a number of interlocutors of the PS as Stéphane Le Foll who knows agricultural topics. MEP, he knows how the Commission, Parliament and how to develop the European decision, "Xavier Beulin advance. "We also have the French Parliament out of the speakers as the member of Dordogne, Germinal Peiro, spokesman for SP agricultural issues and rurality. We meet regularly, "says the boss of the FNSEA, with less effusive.

Still, the FNSEA does not seem intrusive vis-à-vis Matignon. "The subject is not the person but what we can build together, concludes Xavier Beulin. We will be loyal and responsible partners. The interest of France through a strong agriculture, agri-food sectors and strong agricultural equipment, a training system and powerful search. "

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Research in Motion (RIM) launched Operation Last Chance. The Canadian group yesterday presented a prototype of the interface it wants to develop its next smartphone called BlackBerry 10, scheduled for the end of the year. Great break with previous phones brand, there will be more keyboard, the main element that differentiated the BlackBerry of its major rivals.

RIM programmers gathered in Orlando, Florida for its annual meeting and gave them the prototype of its operating system so that they begin to develop compatible applications. A specific series of video games is also being prepared by the publisher Gameloft.

The group, which saw sales of its BlackBerry decline from 25% last quarter, hopes its new interface will help him return to the market to compete with the leaders, Apple – former direct rival of RIM today ahead – and Samsung phones side, and operating systems, Apple and Google holding 80% market share.

The new RIM will also be used by the tablet group, Playbook, whose sales have failed to take off since its launch. Models include the keyboard will continue, also, to be produced.

The announcement of the Canadian group has in any case, not to enthusiastic markets. The action of RIM fell 5% on Tuesday afternoon in Toronto.

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Free Mobile Will it or not benefit from wholesale rates (called call termination) preferential? ARCEP, the telecoms regulator, has made a proposal along these lines for voice calls, and is currently thinking about for SMS. These tariffs, paid by one operator to another to reach a call on its network, are an important component in the economic equation telecom.

But Friday night, the European Commission got involved addressing "serious reservations" to the proposal of the ARCEP. "Imposing tariffs on mobile termination rates over the networks of new entrants only makes sense if the costs are actually more important," said Commission. Clearly, the French regulator has not sufficiently justified its proposal. ARCEP has immediately responded, saying it would reflect the opinion of the Commission, but considers that its decision is not challenged on the merits.

Finally, what impact will Mobile for Free? If Arcep reviews its copy, it could result in less favorable prices for Mobile Free. However, the economic impact should have been limited because these rates apply in any case for a short period and the proposed differential rates with competitors is weaker than expected.

"For Free, the new would be unpleasant, but of limited importance, because in any case, European regulations do not allow an asymmetry that over a maximum period of four years," say analysts at Natixis. "We believe that this could make the start-up losses expected in the early years of Free Mobile a little more important. At first assessment, it could have an impact of around 25 million euros on our valuation of the mobile business, or 0.4% of the current valuation of the group, "they continue.

Technical difficulties seem resolved Free

Oddo: same observation, the impact seems too limited. "According to our preliminary calculations, the impact should be limited to 0.5 euro per share or 1.1 euros in the scenario of an abandonment of the asymmetry which seems unlikely," analysts say.

But behind the subject of voice call termination, covering tens of millions of euros for Free Mobile, looms on the SMS termination, whose stake is about ten times larger, Arcep on which to make a decision this summer.

While Free Mobile asked a very strong differential on SMS interconnection rates, its competitors are totally opposed. "There is no question of accepting the call termination on asymmetric voice calls and SMS, it would amount to subsidize the Iliad offers up to 7 euros', stated the CEO of SFR in late January . While ARCEP must decide, the Commission has wanted to send a signal?

The debate on tariffs between operators comes as Free Mobile seems to have solved the technical difficulties encountered during peak hours. "Capacity problems are solved," said Maxime Lombardini, chief executive of Iliad-Free on lemonde.fr, adding that the group had "added last week, and again in early this week, links to physical spend more simultaneous calls. "

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It is ultimately the advertising that comes out of TF1 winner of the tender conducted by Al-Jazeera Sport for its channels and Bein Bein Sport 1 Sport 2 which should emerge in the coming weeks.

The Qatari group launched its bid in March and France Televisions, Lagardère, TF1 and the Amaury group competed for the contract.

Advertising TF1 finally won just days after the distribution of matches of Euro Foot 2012 and 2016 between Al-Jazeera Sport for all games and TF1 and M6 in 19 games for free TV.

The links between the first private channel free and Qatari sports channel, inbound to the new pay-TV market, is growing.

In his bid Al Jazeera demanded a minimum guarantee, which will prove invaluable in the early months of the launch of Bein Sport 1 and 2, which have not yet many paying subscribers. 

Al-Jazeera Sport had stated aim at the target of men 25 to 49 years, a target perfectly complementary to that of the TF1 channel aimed rather housewives under 50 years. The contract is also based on a consultant's study to estimate that in France Greenwich 3 million people would be willing to take a subscription to a sports channel profile corresponding to those of the Qatari group business cards.

"Your heart beats to the rhythm of sport"

To specify the color, the paper book as the signature strings: "Your heart beats to the rhythm of the sport." Moreover, the tender would encourage candidates to consider two perimeters market. One very large if the offer of Al-Jazeera Sport is broadcast on all platforms, including CanalSat. The other narrower, if the strings are set only by ADSL operators: Bouygues Telecom, SFR, Orange Free. However, no details were given in terms of audience expected. Finally, the Qatari group wants its advertising strategy is cross-platform and affects both its channels, its website that its mobile applications.

According to one expert, advertising revenue channels Al-Jazeera should be included and remain marginal "to the maximum between 3 and 5 million euros." What suggest, according to some relatives, the management contract could be a prelude to broader alliances.

For the first time since 1995, the protection of personal data of European citizens is being reformed. This is normal. In seventeen years, the Internet and social networks have radically changed behaviors and risks: identity theft, fraud, misuse of information posted, collecting information without the consent of the internet, etc … January 25, Viviane Reding, Vice President of the European Commission presented its draft European regulation, in a document of 134 pages. The text should come into force in two years in each member country of the Union.

While the CNIL (Commission Nationale Informatique and freedoms) recognizes "substantial progress", particularly by establishing a "right to oblivion" for digital users and creating "a power of sanctions," up until to 2% of worldwide turnover and € 1 million fines on companies, several points are criticized. Reportedly, the CNIL's remarks will be taken over by all supervisory authorities in Europe, gathered in the "Group of 29" European CNIL. Or Friday, no later than Monday, April 2, this group will be concerned about the "bureaucratic risk" introduced by the draft EU regulation. Indeed, a private company may, according to the draft regulations, elect one principal in Europe, and conform to all its European subsidiaries to the rules of this country's data protection. In case of dispute, the issue will be examined by the CNIL's chosen country payday advance. The risk is high that the French CNIL, for example, becomes a single mailbox. And it's "particularly concerned about the risk of estrangement between citizens and their national authorities."

"The notion of principal is criticized, including by U.S. companies. General Electric, for example, does not have the same commitment to a European country as Facebook or Google, "says one expert. In fact, the same day as the release of the draft EU regulation, Google announced it had chosen "as the principal place of Ireland" and announced a new rule for "confidentiality", in force since March 1. But these provisions were strongly criticized by the CNIL, on behalf of all European CNIL, and March 19, a detailed questionnaire was sent to Google.

Meanwhile, cooperation between the supervisory authorities of all member countries of the European Union is considered, failing to create a single European CNIL. CNIL tricolor is already strong in his criticism by the French government and parliament.

In June the European Council of Ministers should review the draft EU regulation, which would be amended in the direction of greater cooperation between the supervisory authorities of each European country.

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Experts have not yet returned their verdict about the seriousness of the situation on the gas platform of Total in the North Sea. But analysts have already whipped out their calculators and trying to measure the cost of the incident for Total and stakeholders. The range of estimates is very wide: it extends to the French oil group, 150 million dollars (113 million) to $ 10 billion (7.5 billion euros) in case of explosion of the platform.

In all cases, it appears that the bill implied $ 16 billion (12 billion euros), deduced from the fall of Total shares on the stock market, is largely overestimated, says Societe Generale. "A loss of over $ 7 billion (5.3 billion euros) for Total (which holds 46.2% of the platform) seems particularly severe," wrote analyst Societe Generale. The impact on production will remain relatively moderate and the final cost in a worst case scenario hardly exceed the amount implied by the Exchange.

150 to 200,000,000 dollars

To try to guess what the final bill of the incident, calculate how much is the cessation of production from the platform evacuated Sunday at midday. According to CM-CIC Securities, the daily loss would rise between 10 and 15 million. "For Total, one can estimate a minimum cost of 150 to 200 million dollars in the best case (limited to two weeks off) or even more if the situation were to persist for several months' advance CM-CIC Securities. The shutdown could last from six months to a year, according to various analysts. An official of Total recognized that blockage could last up to six months.

$ 10 billion in case of explosion

The bill also depends on the solution proposed to solve the crisis. Exane BNP Paribas, estimated that operators of the platform may have to dig two relief wells, each costing about $ 44 million (33 million) direct payday lenders. Remains a possible explosion on the platform would jump costs for operators. The bill could reach 7.5 billion according to analysts at BofA Merrill Lynch. This amount includes the loss of deposits and the platform (about 2.8 billion euros) and nearly $ 1.5 billion to clean up environmental damage, but excludes any fines.

Analysts agree on one point: this incident, which involves gas and not oil, will not scale environmental or financial cost of the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico in April 2010. The operator of the platform involved in this disaster, the oil BP, had to set aside $ 37.2 billion (24 billion euros).

Between 100 and 200 million pounds less for Crown

Stopping exploitation of the Elgin platform in the North Sea could also have an impact on … tax revenues of His Majestys. "If the site remains closed door for six months, this could result in a revenue loss of between 100 and 200 million pounds (119 and 238.4 million euros)," David has calculated Tinsley, an economist at BNP Paribas . This amount, compared to 43 billion pounds collected by the British state in 2011, does not include any costs of cleanup. The invoice is not limited to the tax shortfall. British production, already amorphous, could also be slowed, says the analyst, who concluded that the country's growth could even be reduced by 0.05% in the second quarter.

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Then prices will drop? In this ritual question about real estate professionals meet today with a little yes. Certainly not a solid yes, frankly, but yes a little, and that is something. Even in the Ile-de-France and Paris, the traditional stronghold of the rise, things are changing. "In 2012, prices should fall by about 5 to 10% in the Ile-de-France," say solicitors. "We expect a relatively sharp decline in activity this year, about 20%, but a decline of more than 5% of prices in France," ahead of his side Pallincourt Rene, President of Fnaim, who is about to give up his siège.Au beyond the delicate exercise of global forecasting, rather symbolic as the evolution of prices can vary depending on the asset markets, all professionals describe the same picture, that of a market slows down, where transactions are less easily. But none ventured to compare the situation to that of 2008. "At that point, everything had stopped, said Sebastien de Lafond, President Meilleursagents.com. This is not the case today, the market remains fluid, even if transaction times are getting longer cheap credit report. "What has changed in six months? Much and little at a time. Laurent Vimont, president of Century 21, says "a sharp contraction in sales, including in Paris." The slowdown is real: last year, with about 850,000 sales in the former, was a record. This year, professionals expect between 700,000 and 740,000 sales only. "We lost buyers since last July. The apartments and houses that have a default and are too expensive are the same most visited, "said Sebastien de Lafond. "What is new is that Paris is affected by volume, whereas it was the last market to be in 2008," said Mr. Bazaille, president of the Institute for Notarial real estate. The sluggish housing market is not good news for local authorities and public finances. And the change in taxation of capital gains might not make the tax revenue espérées.Finies, flights, quarter after quarter.

"More than at any price"

appetite for stone is real. Credits: Jean-Michel Turpin / Fedephoto

Response hardens at Bouygues Telecom. Since the arrival of Free market of mobile telephony, on January 10, the operator suffers. With packages available from 0 to 19.99 euros, the newcomer had already robbed some 134,000 Bouygues Telecom customers to March 1. To limit the damage, he had already announced, on January 13, lower rates of low-cost brand B & You via two packages one at 9.99 euros and the other 19.99 euros . An "Operation Seduction" which has clearly left its customers with marble.

Therefore, on Monday, Bouygues Telecom bounces back. According to Le Monde, it will offer price reductions on its range Eden, his main family of packages. A reduction that will go up to 40% for unlimited plans. "We have simplified our offer and have made more generous in offering our customers three unlimited voice plans from 39.90 euros per month with a terminal at competitive prices," said Frederic Ruciak, director of the consumer market, the daily. The package "Eden Classic" 2 hours of communication, it will be shaved by 10%. Bouygues Telecom has tempered, however, the "Free Indeed" by telling AFP that the price drop was a "rate adjustment from quarantine completed each year flexcheck cash advance."

Havoc on the stock market

The price war launched by Free has done well havoc on the mobile market. In fact, Bouygues Telecom expects a decline of 10% of its turnover in 2012 to 5.14 billion euros. In total, the group offers Niel have attracted over 1.5 million customers, estimated in early March of Stéphane Richard, CEO of France Telecom. Orange said 400,000 of its customers had left for Free Mobile. SFR, meanwhile, had lost 1% of its customers, or 200,000 people, in late February. Markets, investors are nervous. Vivendi, France Telecom and Bouygues suffer attacks of Iliad, the parent company of Free.

Result, Bouygues Telecom will certainly not be the only review it. Orange, who had drawn the first by announcing on 11 January prices down Sosh of his crimes, is expected to unveil a new fee schedule on April 6, with reductions on its range Origami, according to Le Monde.

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The CEO of Veolia Environnement Antoine Frérot, threatened three weeks ago by a coup attempt, Friday conducted a redesign of the Group Executive Committee to accelerate the implementation of its strategic plan.

"Denis Gasquet (Director of Operations, ed), Olivier Orsini (Executive Vice President and General Secretary, ed) and Jean-Pierre Frémont (executive vice president of public authorities and business, ie) left the band," said a statement Veolia, which had already revamped its board of directors Thursday.

Thursday, Antoine Frérot had already reached not to renew the appointments of two directors, the businesswoman Esther Koplowitz Spain and the former head of Sanofi Jean-Francois Dehecq, considered close to former CEO and current CEO of Veolia EDF Proglio. At the Paris Bourse, the Veolia Environnement has accelerated its rise, taking 4.53% to 12.69 euros in a market up 0.26% shy to 3:12 p.m..

Public outcry over Proglio

Disagree with the strategy of his successor to reduce the size of the group, including pulling of the activity of public transport, for deleverage, Proglio, director of Veolia always, wanted, according to press reports, Mr. Frérot to land and Borloo put in its place. But the outcry over this scenario had aborted the project.

The Executive Committee of Veolia from nine to seven members. Six were already (Jérôme Gallot, Jean-Michel Herrewyn, Franck Lacroix, Jean-Marie Lambert, Jerome Le Conte, Pierre-Francois Riolacci). It hosts more Sylvain Boucher. "This entire executive committee is engaged with determination in the successful implementation of the strategic plan," says Veolia. The group recalls that this plan is to refocus on the water, waste and energy services, reduce costs of 420 million euros by 2015, to sell 5 billion euros of assets and reduce debt to below 12 billion euros at end 2013.