Growth: Lagarde await fall
The European Commission has just been estimated in March that the forecasts were too optimistic France and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) last Thursday to consider that they might lead to "a significant underestimation" of efforts to reduce the deficit to 3% of GDP in 2013, Paris had no intention of yielding to pressures coming from all sides on its growth forecast and react hastily to the scaling back.
While the government expects growth of 2.5% in 2011 as in 2012, Christine Lagarde, who was Sunday guest of Grand Jury RTL-LCI-Le Figaro, said Bercy maintained that figure. "It is perhaps a bit daring.But this does not mean that I do not think so because when we have breaks in growth, as we had last year, it rebounded the following year generally stronger than that which was anticipated, "Christine Lagarde has justified, that speaks of" a spring that tightens "…
Nevertheless, "it is too early in the year," to decide to revise the forecast, says she. "Wait and see the results of second quarter results that I hope good." The growth figure for the second quarter will be published in August.Traditionally, this publication – which comes in full preparation of the draft budget law – leads to changes in assumptions of growth for the next year payday loans.
Commitments savings firm and final
If she wants to be proactive, Christine Lagarde, however, not only closes the door to such a review. Paris will pose the question "to fall," said the minister.
This will be a real challenge for public finances. For the equation becomes perilous Paris counts on the 2.5% growth to get him some 35 billion euros in tax revenues to enable it to meet part of 100 billion euros that represents a return to 3% deficit in 2013.If it is not there you will have to find more savings.
One thing is certain: "The commitments we made in terms of economy of expenditure and intervention are firm and final," said Christine Lagarde.
In short, the government must conduct a struggle of economic policy. Christine Lagarde, who just celebrated three years as head of the Department of Economics, said he was ready to continue to assume. While circulating the idea of a reshuffle in September, "it is the President of the Republic to decide what the best players at the right time. If I am useful for the France team, I am available to the Prime Minister and the President of the Republic. Has it Matignon in sight? "Certainly not! Answered Christine Lagarde. The French economy and employment deserve I spend all my energy. "