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Unavoidable. Both right and left, it is fashionable for a Prime Minister to consult the National Federation of Farmers' Unions (FNSEA) before appointing or the Minister of Agriculture. The first president of the French farmers' union, did not hide it. "It seems normal to me, democracy is a living thing," argues Xavier Beulin.

FNSEA three priorities. The first: the jurisdiction of the future minister. It should be expanded to include the food industry, hitherto in the lap of Bercy. "We can not isolate the production issues of value and foreign trade," explains Xavier Beulin. The request was consonant with that of the manufacturers themselves: "The first industry of the country will she finally be taken into account in the new government, beyond the simple farming?", Mused at the end of Last week on Twitter Jean-Rene Buisson, president of Ania, their trade association.

Second priority for the leader of the FNSEA: international. "We need the new minister has a good knowledge of international circuits and especially Europe. 2013 will be a turning point for the common agricultural policy. Many countries expect the French position on this matter. "

Third major point: the capacity for dialogue. "We had in the past ministers entered the office without special knowledge of agriculture, as the outgoing Minister Bruno Le Maire, says Xavier Beulin no faxing pay day loans. He soon learned his style and printed. What seems important is the quality of relationships that we can eat, especially on the environmental record. "

Le Foll holds the rope

Among the names floating around, both have the favor of the FNSEA. "For years we are talking to a number of interlocutors of the PS as Stéphane Le Foll who knows agricultural topics. MEP, he knows how the Commission, Parliament and how to develop the European decision, "Xavier Beulin advance. "We also have the French Parliament out of the speakers as the member of Dordogne, Germinal Peiro, spokesman for SP agricultural issues and rurality. We meet regularly, "says the boss of the FNSEA, with less effusive.

Still, the FNSEA does not seem intrusive vis-à-vis Matignon. "The subject is not the person but what we can build together, concludes Xavier Beulin. We will be loyal and responsible partners. The interest of France through a strong agriculture, agri-food sectors and strong agricultural equipment, a training system and powerful search. "

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Presidential in major cities Paris | Leeds | Lyons | Toulouse | Leeds | Sheffield | Liverpool | Bordeaux | Lille

The attack came on the weekend of Xavier Bertrand, in retaliation for the call to vote against Nicolas Sarkozy and make May 1st a meeting very political, with the support of the Left Front. "The CGT had better put its own house, slammed the Minister of Labour. Bernard Thibault should take care of his estate rather than the presidential election. "

Never be the next head of the CGT will have caused much turmoil. War leaders, changing the rules, slingshot on every floor … The replacement in March 2013 by Bernard Thibault turns the fratricidal struggle. And seriously concerned about the entourage of Francois Hollande, including some serious contenders at Matignon that matter – if their candidate is elected Sunday – on the support of the CGT to support future reforms. "He said that increasingly it will be complicated as the crisis is deep," says a close associate of Socialist candidate. "It is not certain that the CGT may reassemble, confirms an expert. The war of succession will leave traces for a long time. "

Persuaded by his family early on not to re-enlist for a fifth term, Bernard Thibault opened in December 2011 the race to succeed him by launching a wide consultation within the organization. Convinced that a woman should succeed him, he pushed the candidacy of two close, Nadine Prigent (54 years, patron of the Federation of Health) and Agnes Naton (50 years old, retired CEO of France Telecom and the body propaganda house). In vain. A third contender is out of the hat, an overwhelming majority: Eric Aubin (50 years, head of the federation of construction and "Mr free credit score. Retreats" of the plant).

A woman at all costs

But Bernard Thibault does not want Eric Aubin succeeded him. "His only handicap is not to be a woman," said one frame. "Thibault did not like Eric to campaign while it is traditionally out that dictates who will succeed him. He does everything to block his way as to create a serious crisis in house, "another abounds. As the current owner should indicate that April 17 was the fittest to succeed him, he changed the procedure he had established himself by pushing the May 25 – five days before the national confederal committee, " Parliament "of the CGT, not to accept one name – his preference. Until then, it will be launched Wednesday a tour of France and held nine meetings to try to impose interregional Nadine Prigent, which is unanimously against it.

"Nobody understands why he does so," says an expert in social relations. "We will not let Bernard impose a person whom does not" prevent multiple frames pro-Aubin. "In a structure like the CGT, one does not belong: it is not a candidate, we are led by organizations," said the favorite, backed by the largest federations and persuaded to be designated May 30 If this is the case, then it will have nine months to rally around him. A more difficult challenge ahead as the cement of antisarkozysme may disintegrate very quickly if Francois Hollande was elected Sunday

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"Te koop," panels "for sale" are hung at the windows of apartments in Rotterdam as those of great houses in Het Gooi, privileged region of local stars. "On average, a rest house for sale 159 days, 80 days against five years ago: the number of properties for sale has doubled, while prices continue to fall," said Roeland Kimman, spokesman for the NVM.

The first quarter of 2012 was the worst since 2008. The number of transactions fell by 15.6% over the last quarter of 2011. During the same period, the average price of a property fell 2.8%. In April, the fall was even 4.7% over one month. "Buyers are desperately short of confidence," says Eduard Vaandrager, agent in Keizerskroon Makelaars in Amsterdam.

Lower prices undermines consumer confidence, which weighs on consumption. The government attempted to revive the market by lowering the tax on property sales from 6% to 2%. In vain. "To stabilize the market, we should reform the estate tax credit," said Peter Boelhouwer, housing expert at the University of Delft. Arrested in France, Great Britain, Sweden and Norway this grant does not exist in Germany. "In the Netherlands, this has driven prices in the 1990s and early 2000. This is an expensive item – € 9 billion per year – but nobody dares to touch it, because 58% of Dutch owners are, "says the specialist.

Risk loans

Apparently favorable first-time buyers, this grant supports the richest: "Consider a person who borrows at 5% for a house of 600,000 euros. If it is in the tax bracket higher, it may deduct 52% of his monthly payments of taxes and pay only 15,000 euros per year, "says Eduard Vaandrager.

Despite the crisis, the government decided to maintain the subsidy, so as not to accelerate the fall in prices. But it now requires borrowers to repay their loan in 30 years maximum. This concludes a series of mortgages, that only allow full reimbursement of the loan and the sale of the property.

Comfortable in times of rising prices, borrowing against the value of the property become very dangerous when prices fall. "If the owner can not sell his property at the agreed price with the bank, he finds himself with a very large debt," says Ivo Arnold, a professor at the Erasmus School of Economics. As a result, owners waive sale. "Thank goodness that there has been no speculation, as in Spain!" Says Peter Boelhouwer.

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The opening of the contract

Contrary to popular belief, it is quite possible to take out a life insurance contract on behalf of a minor child. Indeed, the prohibition of insurance death benefit over the head of a child under 12 does not apply to life insurance, accidental death which is merely incidental.

However, a certain formality must be observed. Indeed, if the child is under 12, signature of both parents is required for opening and administering the contract. If one parent is not able to exercise parental authority (because he was deposed or died), the guardianship judge must confirm this subscription.

The contract must have a fixed term, not for life. In practice, we may retain such a period of 8 or 10 years. The contract will anyway renewable annually thereafter.

Namely: by age 12, the child must give consent by signing the contract.

The beneficiary clause

Until age 16 the insured minor, the beneficiary clause can only be "my legal heirs." However, from the age of 16, the minor can write the beneficiary clause of his choice, within 50% of the contract value. Insurers in this follow the requirements of the Civil Code.

Life insurance has in this respect a great advantage. Indeed, it prevents the insured to dispose of its funds from 18 years of age, if his parents consider it necessary or desirable. Simply that the beneficiaries of the contract (ie the child's parents) accept the benefit. In this way, even his majority, the child can not withdraw funds without the consent of his parents.

Our advice is to avoid abuse, it is best to set an age limit (eg 25 years) and write this clause with the help of a notary no fax payday loans.

The power of the contract

Long-term investment, the contract of life insurance is ideal for building up capital to fund future education or entry into working life of the child. Accumulated savings being in his name, he will not be necessary to make him a gift: it avoids the payment of fees, at least until the contract is powered by small amounts.

Namely: Pour a donation of a life insurance contract does not relieve the duty of declaring whether it exceeds the framework of a simple donation of use.

Small streams by large rivers, it is advisable to establish a regular savings on the contract. The greater flexibility is allowed: it is possible to suspend, resume, increase or decrease payments freely.

On what media invest the savings?

Some caution is in order if of course the capital comes from an inheritance or gift. The European funds in this case is ideal.

However, if a regular saving is in place, it may be wise to invest some of the equity markets. This is especially true if the child is small: with an investment horizon exceeding sometimes 10 or 15 years, the potential market declines may be offset by gains. In addition, management options that offer the best life insurance now allow secure savings as needed.

Our advice: choose a flexible and scalable contract, so your child can keep when they become adults and take advantage of its prior fiscal.

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Then prices will drop? In this ritual question about real estate professionals meet today with a little yes. Certainly not a solid yes, frankly, but yes a little, and that is something. Even in the Ile-de-France and Paris, the traditional stronghold of the rise, things are changing. "In 2012, prices should fall by about 5 to 10% in the Ile-de-France," say solicitors. "We expect a relatively sharp decline in activity this year, about 20%, but a decline of more than 5% of prices in France," ahead of his side Pallincourt Rene, President of Fnaim, who is about to give up his siège.Au beyond the delicate exercise of global forecasting, rather symbolic as the evolution of prices can vary depending on the asset markets, all professionals describe the same picture, that of a market slows down, where transactions are less easily. But none ventured to compare the situation to that of 2008. "At that point, everything had stopped, said Sebastien de Lafond, President Meilleursagents.com. This is not the case today, the market remains fluid, even if transaction times are getting longer cheap credit report. "What has changed in six months? Much and little at a time. Laurent Vimont, president of Century 21, says "a sharp contraction in sales, including in Paris." The slowdown is real: last year, with about 850,000 sales in the former, was a record. This year, professionals expect between 700,000 and 740,000 sales only. "We lost buyers since last July. The apartments and houses that have a default and are too expensive are the same most visited, "said Sebastien de Lafond. "What is new is that Paris is affected by volume, whereas it was the last market to be in 2008," said Mr. Bazaille, president of the Institute for Notarial real estate. The sluggish housing market is not good news for local authorities and public finances. And the change in taxation of capital gains might not make the tax revenue espérées.Finies, flights, quarter after quarter.

"More than at any price"

appetite for stone is real. Credits: Jean-Michel Turpin / Fedephoto

No wonder that the backup industry has become an issue in the presidential Since 2001, the manufacturing sector has lost over 800,000 jobs in France. Each week brings a lot of sites in need. After the textile factory Lejaby and module manufacturer Photowatt, it is the turn of the steel plant of ArcelorMittal Florange in Lorraine, put to sleep by the judgment of its two blast furnaces, to generate the anxiety … and the attention of politicians.

Francois Hollande visited Florange Friday. There promised legislation that would prevent a company wanting to emerge from a French site to block a takeover by a buyer. Filed Monday in Parliament, this bill has no chance of being passed before the elections. But its content must be dated. In detail, the text is not so coercive as that. "If there is no buyer, we will force the company not wanting to close the plant to find one," said Alain Rousset, President of PS Aquitaine and responsible for industrial matters within the Holland team.

Defensive tool

"By cons, if buyers are presented, the company can no longer refuse to cede the factory, as sometimes happens now. This is the commercial court which will then choose the buyer, "added the official, who sees the device as a defensive tool against abusive practices by companies not wanting to deliver profitable customers or technology to a potential buyer competing .

On the other side of the political spectrum, we do not share this vision. "The logic of this bill is a logical administered economy that always leads to impoverishment," Francois Fillon on Monday denounced the Salon de l'Agriculture. RTL, Nicolas Sarkozy said he preferred to act through the Strategic Investment Fund (ISF), the armed wing of the State acquires a stake in companies. "It makes sense, is to invest," said the president-nominee. Nevertheless, in the case of ArcelorMittal, the use ISP has nothing obvious, the group being held to 40.8% by the Mittal family. Similarly, the government can push, as reaffirmed by Nicolas Sarkozy, the direction to invest in the blast furnace restarts in the second half. But this is ArcelorMittal, as a private company, which will decide whether to invest, based on economic criteria.

The state could in fact intervene through Ulcos European project, focused on CO2 reductions. Through this project, a new blast furnace could be built to high performance Florange. Last autumn, the French government is committed to provide 150 million euros to this program. Commitment that Nicolas Sarkozy confirmed on RTL. Still, it must also get the green light from Brussels. The European Commission must give its opinion in October 2012. Francois Hollande had gone to discuss the subject in Brussels last November. Nicolas Sarkozy has promised to speak at the European summit later this week. But again, the project will not succeed if it is not economically viable

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"What will happen if the people say no? The risk is that the international community shuts off the money and the country will eventually leave the euro. There is matter of serious concern investors, "said Christoph Weil for his part, an analyst at Commerzbank. As for the CM-CIC analysts, the referendum "opens a Pandora's box about the size of the losses to be borne by financial institutions."

The optimism was short-lived on the Asian markets. After an encouraging start of the week, the markets plunged again in the red, the footsteps of European and American stock exchanges. Hopes that the problems of sovereign debt in the euro area resolved quickly, as promised last weekend by the Franco-German duo have been showered by the rejection by the Slovak parliament to the expansion of financial aid funds the euro area (EFSF). Last country to vote on the subject, Slovakia was expected by the markets at the turn. This decision may slow the process of post-crisis recovery that the pessimism of the operators. A second vote, however, could be organized with the support of the left opposition which requires the holding of elections in exchange.

In addition to these political deals, investors are disappointed by the results of the aluminum giant Alcoa.The latter, which traditionally opens the ball results in the United States, reported Tuesday a quarterly profit below expectations, attributed to slower economic growth since mid-2011.

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In Japan, the bad news drive the Nikkei down. At the end, it gives up 0.40% to 8738.90 points. The broader Topix index has eroded his side of 0.21% to 753.44 points. Export values ​​are undermined by a strengthening of the yen was down 0.27% Toyota, Honda of 1.79% and 4.07% Nikon loose, affected by its decision to suspend production in Thailand by the floods that hit the country. For the same reasons, Toyota announced that he was forced to suspend production for the week in its three plants. Values ​​related to energy are affected by the poor results of Alcoa.Sumitomo Metal Mining loose eg 1.64% no fax cash advances.

Please note that orders for capital goods in the private sector in Japan, excluding energy and shipbuilding, jumped 11.0% in August compared with July, according to the government Wednesday.

Australia's S & P lost 2.09% to 3325 points. Values ​​related to the sector of raw materials are affected by Alcoa. BHP Billiton drops 1.20%, 2.51% Alumina and Rio Tinto 1.59%.

The Hang Seng in Hong Kong manages to remain in the green, up 0.63% to 18,255 points, as the Shanghai Composite Stock Exchange Shanghai jumped 2.16% to 2399 points. Always driven by Beijing's decision to support the banking sector, Agricultural Bank of China gained 1.34% and 1.13% Bank of China.Moreover, the U.S. Senate on Tuesday approved a bill to penalize China, suspected of manipulating its currency to boost exports, despite the reluctance of the White House. The adoption of the bill is a "severe sprain" the rules of the World Trade Organization (WTO) can cause a "trade war", responded Wednesday to the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

The Korean Kospi follows in the footsteps of Chinese markets and advances from 0.50% to 1803 points. Even bullish on India Sensex climbs to 1.10% at 16,718 points.

Oil down

The price of oil was down at the opening Wednesday in Asia, where the market re-Slovak pessimistic after the rejection of strengthening European support fund and the estimated demand for crude revised downwards by OPEC.

In electronic trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for November delivery lost 1.04 dollars to 84.77 dollars. Barrel of Brent North Sea crude for November delivery gave 74 cents to 109.99 dollars.

Faced with the fear of a general banking collapse, the Franco-German couple is once again under the spotlight. And once again, things are not simple. Nicolas Sarkozy will be tomorrow in the German capital to "speed up" with Angela Merkel the implementation of the bailout of a Euro still full turbulence. The urgent need for the French president and German chancellor, is to flatten their differences on the use of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) and reach a tentative agreement on the thorny issue of the recapitalization of banks.

Angela Merkel ruled Thursday that "there was a need to recapitalize, it would be reasonable to invest money" in terms of what could cost an emergency rescue industry.But she insists on the fact that the Fund will be used to bail out financial institutions on the condition that states can not themselves "to support the recapitalization of their banks' and it puts" endangered the euro area as a whole. "

In fact, Paris Berlin suspected of wanting to directly use the emergency fund to recapitalize banks weakened by the prospect of a debt reduction Greek. "The French have misunderstood the EFSF, decrypts it does in Berlin. Our position is that banks must first seek funding markets, and the side of the national public authorities. Only when there is no money available comes the European level. The EFSF is a tool for countries like Greece or Portugal.If a country like France – among the strongest financially of the euro area – wants to appeal, then this is the door open for all members of the area had ro dig into the fund. "

Berlin suspects Paris

An over-interpretation, says it does on the French side. "We have not yet begun to discuss that!" Do we wonder at the Elysee. At Bercy, it ensures not see fundamental differences with Berlin. "We agree with Germany, said the entourage of the Minister of Economy, Baroin, the fact that more capital into banks, including French," even if only to meet new international standards of Basel III in 2013.Whenever possible, the French banks also plan to comply with without recourse to the capital, let alone the U.S. – by separating certain activities if necessary, by distributing fewer profits to build equity .

But if there had to be re-capitalization, especially to reassure investors, "the sources must first be private," insists one at Bercy. "Ultimately, this should be to rely on injections of public capital." According to Paris, "a European coordination is essential to determine the amount of capital to meet the deadline by which this capital is to be achieved, and the tools for that. " It is on these criteria that France and Germany could agree this weekend.For its part, Brussels will make proposals for a coordinated recapitalization "in the coming days."

Moreover, given the deepening crisis, Angela Merkel has gradually accepted the idea of ​​economic governance of the European Union, defended by Nicolas Sarkozy. Expanding the powers of EFSF part of this process. However, the Chancellor – who imposed hard fought his troops to ratify the Bundestag building – is faced with a majority crossed by a strong current Eurosceptic.

Markets would also like to know more about the technical means to leverage the clout of EFSF. These contain the spread of the crisis heavyweight like Italy, Spain, and Portugal, while the levees are still weak.Should we go further and erase a more substantial part of the Greek debt? Should we consider that the Fund provides guarantees? The German finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, at least possible that Germany spends more money than EFSF the 211 billion passed by the Bundestag.

These tensions, it is now the standard mode of operation between Paris and Berlin. Pressure mounts on both sides of the Rhine, until a compromise emerges in a head-to-head at the highest level. Given their respective domestic political weakness or Merkel or Sarkozy can not afford a failure.

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